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Introduction: Blackjack Dealer Bust Percentages

Now, when you’re sat at the gaming table, you’ll now that with blackjack you are always faced with incomplete information. For example, though you know the values of your own two cards, and the value of the dealers up card, you don’t have any idea of what the hoe card might be or the next card that’ll come out of the shoe. If there was only a means of having a better idea of these unknowns then the game could easily swing in your favor. There is something called “basic strategy” that can be put to use when playing blackjack. Let’s have a look and see how this can help in your decision making. Anyhow, if you would like to win the jackpot online, you can find plenty of options in our directory.

Blackjack Dealer: Basic Strategy

So what is basic strategy? Simply put, it’s a mathematical formula that reduces the house edge to the absolute minimum. Over time, it’s been tried and tested and in today’s computer age, has been run through millions of simulations. Playing and adhering to the basic strategy will bring the house edge down to around 0.5%. The basic strategy helps make your decisions to hit, stand, or double down, based on the initial play of your two-up cards and the dealers one up card. Many players would love to know the percentage of times the blackjack dealer goes bust, or over 21 for you non-players, depending on their single up card.

Up Cards For Bust

It’s interesting to note that the blackjack dealer will bust more on certain cards than on others. The worst cards for the dealer are 5 and 6. Then come the 4. So, when a dealer has his upcard showing a 5 or 6, he has a 42% chance of busting. If it’s showing a 4, then the chance is 40%. This is the reason you should always double down if the dealer is showing one of these three cards.

Blackjack Dealer: Play Like A Pro

If the dealer’s up cards are a 9, 10 or Ace, then they are least likely to bust. Of course, if they have one of these cards showing, they also have another advantage in that the player needs to play his cards first. Now, here’s the bit of basic strategy you need to pay attention to. The player with a hand of less than 17, will still need to take a hit providing the dealers up card is a 7, 8, 9, 10 or an Ace. Remember that if the player bust, then loses the hand even if the dealer goes bust as well. In this case, the % of times the house will win will be higher than the table below shows.

blackjack dealer
BlackJack is the hearth of the casino – Image source: Flickr

Play Correctly

It’s a given, that you will make more cash if the dealer’s upcard is one that allows you to double down. But, you must follow the basic strategy to the tee. The problem comes about with many novice players in that they don’t double down when they should do. A common mistake is that they will double down when the blackjack dealer is showing a 5 or 6 when they have a hand of a 7 or 8. So, even though the dealer will bust 42% of the time, you will end up losing more money. Remember that all these numbers are about the long game. So, learn and remember your basic strategy. That’s the way how to win the jackpot sooner than later.

Use The Chart

If you know what the dealer’s bust percentages are, then you have an advantage in that you can make an educated guess on the outcome using basic strategy. We suggest that you memorize the table below. With this basic strategy chart, you’ll have no hesitation as to whether it’s in your best interest to hit, stand, or double down. You can even print the chart out and bring it with you to the casino. Refer to it at your leisure. This way you’ll be playing blackjack with the lowest house edge possible. Good Luck!

Blackjack Dealer Bust Percentages

Dealer Card:   2        3        4        5        6        7        8       9      10      Ace
Bust % :         35%   37%   40%  42%  42%  26%  24%  23%  23%  17%

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